Is the Market Back to Normal? Q2 2021 Fund Flows

With increasingly available vaccines, businesses reopening, and most people eager to get out of their homes, Q2 saw a dramatic rise in the S&P 500, up 15.25% in 2021 through June. Meanwhile, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate moved higher from its 2021 low but was still down 3.21% at the midway point of the year. … Continued

2008 vs. 2020: What Happens When the Federal Funds Rate is 0%?

During each of the fourteen Federal Open Market Committee meetings from March 2020 through June 2021, Chair Jerome Powell and committee members have decided to leave the federal funds rate unchanged, at a target range of 0% to 0.25%.  With inflation on the rise and unemployment falling, the Fed instead revealed their plan to increase … Continued

2020 Fund Flows: Active vs Passive, Thematic ETFs & More

Since bottoming out on March 23, 2020, the S&P 500 has climbed 75% on a total return basis, and the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate is nearly 6% off its low. Momentum in stocks has continued through January 2021, but recent jumps in Treasury Rates have slowed price appreciation of investment-grade fixed income. The calendar no … Continued

September Slump Cools Investor Expectations: Fund Flows in Q3 2020

While the COVID-19 pandemic drove both equity and fixed income lower in the first quarter of 2020, a broad recovery took hold in the second and third quarters. Similarly, mutual fund flows continue to move toward bonds in record numbers. The chart below shows that through the end of Q3 2020, the S&P 500 Total … Continued

Where Are Investors Placing Recovery Bets? Reviewing Fund Flows in Q2 2020

In the first quarter of 2020, the covid-19 pandemic impacted both equity and fixed income markets, with the S&P 500 Total Return (^SPXTR) down 19.6% and the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate (^BBUSATR) 3.2% higher through the end of Q1. However, it’s been a different narrative since the market bottomed-out in the final weeks of March. … Continued

Economic Update — Reviewing Q1 2020

The first quarter of 2020 was one for the record books. Major indices set all-time-highs in mid-February and extended an already historic bull market into 2020 before the spread of COVID-19 sent equity markets into a nosedive. Since then, investors have seen some of the best and worst single days in market history as investors … Continued