Economic Update — Reviewing Q1 2022

The post-pandemic stock market rally came to a sobering halt in the first quarter of 2022. All three major US indices fell by double digit percentage points at some point in Q1. The Dow ended the first quarter of 2022 4.6% lower, the S&P 500 finished Q1 down 5%, and the NASDAQ was off 9.1% … Continued

Recession Forecasting with Michael Gayed

FEATURING THE LEAD-LAG REPORT‘S PUBLISHER, MICHAEL GAYED  I’m a firm believer that when it comes to examining current economic and market conditions, the bond market gets it right more often than the stock market. With inflation rates soaring and the Fed ending its years-long ultra-loose monetary policy conditions, the big question is whether or not … Continued

Interest Rates Are Getting Weird with Ben Carlson

This post originally appeared on Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense on 3/22/22. Follow Ben on Twitter @awealthofcs for more!  —— Interest rates are on the move. Here’s a look at government bond yields moving up across the board: Download Visual l Modify in YCharts These yields still pale in comparison with the inflation rate but rates are now much … Continued

Your Complete Guide to Sector Rotation

As the economy expands and contracts, so do the financial performances of companies across the 11 stock sectors. When the outlook is positive, economically sensitive companies perform better and investors are prompted to buy their shares. If the outlook turns sour, investors may sell out of those companies and swap into investments that can better … Continued

How Long Does it Take Tech Stocks to Recover From a Crash? with Ben Carlson

This post originally appeared on Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense on 2/20/22. Follow Ben on Twitter @awealthofcs for more!  —— From 1990 through the end of 1999, Microsoft’s share price went from around 60 cents to almost $60. That was a gain of nearly 10,000%, good enough to turn $10k into $1 million. Not bad. Then the … Continued

Victors of Today’s Market Volatility with Beth Kindig

FEATURING I/O FUND’S, TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY ANALYST, BETH KINDIG @Beth_Kindig, and Bradley Cipriano Markets have been volatile in 2022 and growth stocks have had a rollercoaster year so far. Countless high-performing technology stocks have been sold indiscriminately this year. For instance, growth leaders such as CrowdStrike, Datadog, and Snowflake were all down over 20% at one point in … Continued

Bear Market Mania with Charlie Bilello

FEATURING THE FOUNDER & CEO OF COMPOUND CAPITAL ADVISORS, CHARLIE BILELLO, @charliebilello Is this a bull or a bear market? In looking at any of the major U.S. indices, that might seem like a ridiculous question. The S&P 500 is up over 20% on the year and has hit 66 all-time highs, the second most of … Continued

The New and Improved Inflation Hedge With Chris Dunn

FEATURING THE HOST OF WE TALK MONEY PODCAST, CHRIS DUNN @ChrisDunnTV   When you ask someone the main reason why they invest, they are likely to respond with: “to grow my money, and beat inflation”. Over the past decade, inflation has been rather muted. Investors in equities have been handsomely rewarded with low interest rates, low inflation and … Continued

Economic Update — Reviewing Q3 2021

For most of Q3, it appeared the bull market would continue charging, but equities stalled out in September. In the third quarter of 2021, the NASDAQ and S&P 500 both rose by as much as 5% but finished around flat, while the Dow lost 1.5%. The last day of Q3 marked the first time in … Continued

How to Discuss $HOOD and New IPO Stocks with Clients

Is your client excited about new IPO stocks hitting the market like Robinhood (HOOD), but you’re unsure how to approach the conversation? Considering the fanfare around major IPOs, they can be hard to ignore — but it isn’t always easy to decide whether to invest in one or not. While the potential to win big … Continued