Inverted Yield Curve: What It Means and How to Navigate it

The 1-Year Treasury Bill’s rate of 4.62% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of November 2022. A little over a year ago, it was at 0%. Now, the 1-year rate is higher than the 3-year, 5-year, 10-year, 20-year, and even the interest paid by a 30-Year Treasury Bond, which yields 77 basis points less … Continued

Are We In A Recession? It Depends…

“Are we in a recession?” It’s a question many financial advisors have been fielding from their clients as economic uncertainty has only increased this year. The answer, however, depends on who you ask.  The short and technical definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, which is exactly what occurred in … Continued

Do Inverted Yield Spreads Really Predict Market Crashes?

Inverted yield spreads are among the most widely-followed indicators for predicting economic recessions. In fact, an inverted yield curve has preceded every US recession since 1955. But how effectively can inverted yield spreads be used to predict stock market declines?  In our latest white paper, Which Leading Indicators Best Predict Market Declines?, we analyzed the … Continued

Monthly Market Wrap: March 2022

Welcome back to the Monthly Market Wrap from YCharts, where we break down the most important market trends for advisors and their clients every month. As always, feel free to download and share any visuals with clients and colleagues, or on social media. Want the Monthly Market Wrap sent straight to your inbox? Subscribe below: … Continued