How did U.S. stock indices perform in February 2025?

In February 2025, the S&P 500 fell 1.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 1.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 3.9%. Read the full analysis here .

Which sectors had the highest and lowest returns in February 2025?

Consumer Staples rose 5.2%, making it the highest-performing sector, while Consumer Discretionary fell 7%, marking the lowest performance. See sector performance trends here .

What was the trend in home prices during February 2025?

The Median Sale Price of Existing Homes fell below $400,000 for the first time in nearly a year, indicating potential cooling in the housing market. Learn more here .

How did unemployment and labor force participation change in February 2025?

Unemployment fell to 4.0%, and labor force participation rose during February 2025, reflecting a stronger job market. Read the labor market insights here .

What was the performance of gold and oil prices in February 2025?

Gold reached a new all-time high in February 2025, while oil prices declined amid shifting global demand. Explore commodity trends here .

Resources > Blog > Advisors > Monthly Market Wrap: June 2025

Monthly Market Wrap: June 2025

July 2, 2025

Welcome back to the Monthly Market Wrap from YCharts, where we dissect crucial market trends for advisors and their clients. This June, equity indices posted another positive month to round out a historic first half of 2025, while oil prices spiked in the wake of Middle East tensions and treasury yields fell across the curve.

Want to use these visuals in your own presentations? Download our free Monthly Market Wrap slide deck, containing all charts featured in the Market Wrap and more in a shareable, presentation-ready format.

June 2025 Market Summary: Equities End 1H 2025 with Positive June, Oil Prices Surge, Treasury Yields Fall

Stocks closed out the first half of 2025 with gains across the board as indices continued a rapid clawback out of correction territory from earlier in the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 4.5%, the S&P 500 added 5.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 6.6%. Eight of the top 10 S&P 500 performers in June were companies in the Information Technology sector; similar to May, companies in the semiconductor and technology hardware & storage industries were the main drivers of higher index performance in June.

The only negative sector in June was the Consumer Staples sector, which slipped 1.6%. The top three sectors were Technology (+9.9%), then Consumer Discretionary (+7.3%), followed by Energy (+4.9%).

Jump to Equity Performance

Oil prices soared as much as 25% within the month of June amid concerns of lower output stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict. US New Single-Family Home Sales activity logged its largest monthly decline in three years, though Existing Home Sales rose 0.8% MoM and the Median Sales Price of Existing Homes advanced to within 1% of its all-time high. The Federal Reserve maintained its key Fed Funds Rate target range of 4.25%-4.50% at the FOMC’s June 18^th meeting, marking the fourth consecutive meeting in which it has left the key benchmark rate unchanged.

Jump to Economic Data

Treasury Yields declined across the curve in June, with the exception of the 3-month Treasury Rate, which increased five basis points. The 3-year logged the largest decline of any treasury duration at 19 basis points, followed by the 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year, all of which fell 17 basis points. Lower yields pushed bond funds higher, especially the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), which added 2.7% in June.

Jump to Fixed Income Performance

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Off the YCharts! 2025 Halftime Report

We are already halfway through the year, and 2025 has certainly been a wild ride for equity markets.

Following two consecutive calendar years of strong performances, the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 got off to modestly positive starts in 2025. That all changed when the growing imposition of trade tariffs on foreign countries and investors fleeing to the safety of short-term treasuries caused U.S. indices to all plummet by double-digit percentages. (The Nasdaq briefly entered into a bear market in early April.)

However, all three indices returned to setting new all-time highs by the end of Q2 in a remarkable V-shaped recovery. The S&P 500 ended the first half of the year up 5.5%, lifted higher by the Communication Services (+12.1%), Industrial (+12.0%), and Technology sectors. The Technology sector logged the biggest reversal, coming back from down as much as 22.7% YTD through April 8th to end the six-month period up 8.9%.

YCharts chart of U.S. stock sector performance in the first half of 2025

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Equity Performance: Equities Close Out First Half of the Year on Strong Note, Growth and Information Technology Lead

Economic Data Overview: Oil Prices Spike, Services Sector Contracts for First Time in 12 Months

Employment

The unemployment rate remained at 4.2% for the third-straight month in May, and the labor force participation rate fell 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%. 139,000 jobs were added to the U.S. economy in May, according to the most recent nonfarm payrolls report, below the downwardly revised 147,000 in April but above the Dow Jones estimate of 125,000.

Consumers and Inflation

The US inflation rate held steady at 2.35% in May, as did core inflation at 2.79%. The US Consumer Price Index rose by 0.1% MoM in May, and US Personal Spending contracted 0.14% MoM, its second contraction since March 2023.

The Federal Reserve maintained its key Fed Funds Rate target range of 4.25%-4.50% at the FOMC’s June 18^th meeting, the fourth consecutive meeting in which it has voted to do so. The next meeting will take place on July 30th. Despite recent calls from the U.S. president for the rate to be slashed to 1%, investors anticipate the Fed will once again leave the target rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Production and Sales

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI increased 0.5 points in June to 49.0, ending a four month streak of consecutive declines but still just within contraction territory. The Services PMI fell 1.7 points between April and May to 49.9, its first contractionary reading since last June. The YoY US Producer Price Index rose slightly to 2.62% in May after a drastic drop between March and April. US Retail and Food Services Sales posted the largest MoM decline since April 2023, contracting 0.91% between April and May.

Housing

US New Single-Family Home Sales plummeted 13.7% MoM in May, the largest monthly decline since June 2022. Existing Home Sales rose 0.8% MoM. The Median Sales Price of Existing Homes climbed 2.1% in May to $422,800, closing within 1% of its all-time high of $426,900. Mortgage rates stayed relatively stable throughout June, continuing a year-long trend; the 15-year Mortgage Rate was 5.89% as of June 26th, while the 30-year closed the month at 6.77%.

Commodities

The price of gold experienced volatility in June but ended the month slightly higher after snapping a four-month win streak in May. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) rose 0.4% in June to $308.43 per share and set a new all-time high halfway through the month. Oil prices spiked in June as a result of the Israel-Iran conflict and concerns over diminished production in the region; the price of Brent crude surged as much as 25% in June before retracing to $68.15 per barrel as of June 30th, a monthly increase of 6%. WTI jumped 7.9% higher to $66.30. Despite the volatility in oil prices, the average price of gas stayed unchanged at $3.29 per gallon MoM.

Cryptocurrencies

Major cryptocurrencies posted mixed performances in June. Bitcoin rose 4.2% in June to end the month at $108,396.60, bringing the asset class up 17% YTD. Ethereum slipped 0.9% to $2,502.67 as of June 30th, pulling the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap down 25.5% YTD and 48% below its all-time high.

Fixed Income Performance: Insights into Bond ETFs and Treasury Yields

US Treasury Yield Curve

1 Month Treasury Rate: 4.28%

3 Month Treasury Rate: 4.41%

6 Month Treasury Rate: 4.29%

1 Year Treasury Rate: 3.96%

2 Year Treasury Rate: 3.72%

3 Year Treasury Rate: 3.68%

5 Year Treasury Rate: 3.79%

10 Year Treasury Rate: 4.24%

20 Year Treasury Rate: 4.79%

30 Year Treasury Rate: 4.78%

YCharts chart of the US Treasury Yield Curve as of June 30th, 2025

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Bond Fund Performance

YCharts chart of Bond ETF Performance as of June 30th, 2025

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Have a great July! 📈

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YCharts Monthly Product Update: June 2025